Hope you had a nice holiday... FED can´t keep this monster up, or more they hold, severe will be the fall... I continue to place money on Volatility through Amundi Volatility Euro Equities Funds because i prefer to enter on stock funds when this crazyness of pumping money burst and the rise will be more steady.
For now i am ALL IN with my "play money" on TZA, FAZ and SHORT AUD/USD. I will try to place more posts with signals given by my system, and for now AUD/USD is giving a strong sell signal... IWM will give the signal tomorrow i am antecipating.
Have a great 2011... it will be fun.
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This market is very dangerous... remember that in 2008 market wipe out 4 years of gains in 2 weeks and in April in just a few minutes market wipe out months of rising... this happens when market is pumped by fed, banks and HFT´s... when a market rises more the worst the economic data... one word for that WTF... Be carefull in this market because before you know it things get complicated and you can´t go out..
Market is doing the same action as in April, when was pumped everyday a few points, market couldn´t go down every, until in a few minutes panic mode.. i have the tape where the traders were in panic and i bet that will happen again, but this time much worst, the stockmarket will close.
Just adding shorts @audusd and TZA, FAZ, nasdaq100 and SPX500... one day @ a time on each pump, until the reality check...
Remember that in 2008 market wiped out 4 years of gain in 2 weeks... when the market is pumped artificially long gains stays only on paper. And Obama and Bernanke are destroying american economy. I just don´t know if is on purpose, has they are doing EVERYTHING wrong or they are just incompetent.
IWM has a nice short entry @ this point. I am short since yesterday trought TZA.
... on the break of a nasty H&S there is a great chance of that H&S is for real.
Everyone is buying calls and are thinking that we will rallie hard, killing the bears again. But... when everyone is buying when we break a nasty H&S and everyone continues buying what will happen? So be carefull who is long, because this could be nasty.
The question is now what? The regular situation would be, we are oversold and due for a rallie, but what i am seeing is lot of complacency and relax from the bulls and bears that are convinced we are gonna have a rallie to 1100 where they can exit or reload.
The crashs happens in oversold situations and this is getting to similar to the crash of 2008. But, one day @ a time. My guess is that we are going to have some kind of relieve but not what majority expect... not a great bounce, only a small one and before you notice kabumm... But hey, in this rigged market everything is possible.
This could get very ugly very quickly. Everyone was expecting, me included until yesterday a rallie to 1100/1110. Of course market didn´t care and plunge. Now what i see is that everyone is talking about 1040 that will lead to a new rallie... Which i doubt due to the mm50 and mm200 crossed in some indexes and valuable stocks.
Take IWM for example, this is a very weak chart and the break of 60 will give a 50 target easy. This situation with HFT´s and easy money Central Banks are distorting the markets and usualy the reality checks are painfully.
There is a BUDA phrase that said it all. The truth is painfull in the begining but sweet in the end. A LIE is sweet in the begining and painfully in the end. AND LIES IS WHAT THE POLITICIANS AND FED´S ARE SAYING ALL THE TIME ALL THE WAY. ENOUGH IS ENOUGH. The lie of 2009 and the reality check of 2010 and so on.
And a video from an american HERO. http://www.liberdadedescolha.com/2010/06/discurso-de-soldado-americano-que.html
Sem me alongar muito, já que desde os RED ALERTS que emiti deu para ver a minha opinião, vou colocar uma série de gráficos onde se podem ver os índices praticamente sem suportes. Poderá haver um panic sell, coisa que ainda não se passou até agora, já que por exemplo o S&P500 está apenas negativo no ano cerca de 3%...
Vou também colocar o balanço do FED para se assustarem... e ainda colocaram o Bernanke como homem do ano... as pessoas não sabem mesmo o que andam a fazer... deviam era prende-lo por estar a dar o seu grande contributo para uma hiper grande depressão... vai fazer parecer os anos 30 uma brincadeira.
Quando ao Ouro penso que um teste aos 1000 dólares é perfeitamente normal. Ai depois temos de auferir o que irá fazer.
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